O Japão anda há mais de 40 anos com deflação e ainda não se livrou dela.
Nas cidades, mesmo Tóquio, há bairros e bairros enormes totalmente fechados. Ninguém vive lá e não há uma única coisa aberta.
Na antiga capital imperial Kyoto mais de metade da cidade está fechada. E deserta. Pode-se andar de carro mais de 10 quilómetros por bairro em que tudo está deserto e fechado.
That’s deflation baby!
Ninguém compra nada porque amanhã é mais barato! “Espera ai que o frigorifico velho ainda aguenta mais uns tempos…”
A inflação estimula as pessoas a comprarem, porque amanhã é mais caro. A deflação é um ciclo pernicioso e autofágico que estimula as pessoas a não comprarem porque amanhã é mais barato.
Entretanto vai tudo à falência. e os preços baixam ainda mais.
A verdade é que o sistema financeiro mundial não tem mecanismos de correção automáticos para a deflação como tem para a inflação. E por isso não funciona em deflação. É isto que ninguém tem coragem para dizer frontalmente, embora se perceba pelas políticas. E pelo medo, não pânico, da deflação.
Se existissem mecanismos automáticos de correção os salários e as contas nos bancos das pessoas baixavam todos os meses para retirar os benifícios da deflação.
Isto teoricamente faz sentido. Só que ninguém vai nisso e é impossível de aplicar. Por isso eu acho que o Mundo vai dar um enorme estoiro.
A deflação alimenta-se dela própria. E é selffullfiling. Ou seja, cada vez que os preços baixam, mais decisores económicos aderem à realidade económica da deflação. E ela aumenta precisamente por este facto, o que leva os agentes económicos (como os consumidores) a adiar decisões de investimento (no novo frigorifico por exemplo), o que por sua vez gera mais deflação.
Questionado pela Lusa sobre as expectativas que o grupo tem para o final deste ano e para o próximo em termos do desempenho da SIC, principal ativo da Impresa, – e com o mote da apresentação da nova temporada da estação na segunda-feira – Francisco Pedro Balsemão diz que estão “bem preparados”.
“Há 12 anos que não éramos líderes, até fevereiro de 2019, e, portanto, o que nós queremos, para o que nós trabalhamos, é para ter o maior número de telespetadores na nossa antena e estamos muito contentes por ter conseguido fazê-lo. Estamos com uma diferença grande [em termos de share] em agosto para a nossa concorrência. Queremos manter esta liderança o máximo de tempo possível, temos todas as condições para o fazermos. Estamos bem preparados para o futuro, conta a nossa solidez financeira, o facto de estarmos todos no mesmo edifício, o facto de termos as melhores pessoas – digo eu – e a melhor tecnologia para o efeito”, disse à agência Lusa.
Em 02 de agosto, a SIC anunciou que aumentou as audiências em agosto, segundo dados da GfK/CAEM, liderando há sete meses consecutivos. A SIC aumentou para 5,1 pontos percentuais a distância para a TVI e lidera no ano de 2019 com 18,8% de share, afirmou em comunicado.
“Tomámos uma série de decisões que foram importantes para alcançar este resultado da liderança: reafetámos recursos – não aumentámos orçamento de grelha -, poupámos em determinadas áreas para reafetar noutras áreas e investimos no novo edifício e em nova tecnologia e acho que foi fundamental ter toda a gente debaixo do mesmo teto [no mesmo edifício em Paço de Arcos], com melhores condições, a trabalhar em conjunto e, naturalmente, com uma nova dinâmica que se foi conquistando com a liderança – neste caso, também na informação Expresso e SIC. Trabalha-se de uma forma muito mais integrada. Isso é muito importante para este sucesso“, explicou ainda o CEO da Impresa.SIC aumenta lucros da Impresa. Ganha 3,5 milhões de euros Ler Mais
Em 05 de setembro, a SIC e a Altice Portugal assinaram um novo acordo para a distribuição dos canais da estação na plataforma da Meo, que é válido por mais três anos, anunciaram as empresas. “A renovação deste acordo é mais um passo muito relevante na relação entre as empresas, sendo que vem consolidar, uma vez mais, a qualidade da oferta dos melhores conteúdos televisivos aos clientes Meo, assim como, através da comunicação, da tecnologia e dos conteúdos, permitir a sua ligação ao país e ao mundo”, referiu a Altice Portugal, em comunicado.
“Numa altura em que a SIC é líder de audiências, com reforço do investimento em conteúdos, em diversificação de produto televisivo e numa nova estratégia e posicionamento, a Altice Portugal assume a sua satisfação com a assinatura deste acordo. Claramente, o investimento do grupo tem dado frutos, uma vez que a SIC generalista é hoje a estação mais vista pelos portugueses, tendo ainda na SIC Notícias uma referência no que diz respeito à informação que é feita em Portugal”, disse então o presidente executivo da Altice, Alexandre Fonseca, em comunicado.
Deste modo, a SIC continuará a estar presente em todos os ecrãs dos clientes Meo, em HD (alta definição), com uma vasta oferta de canais de televisão (SIC, SIC Notícias, SIC Radical, SIC Mulher, SIC K e SIC Caras).
Nunca ninguém explicou aos Europeus, e neste caso, o Chanceler Kholl, nunca explicou aos Alemães, que adotar o euro faria da Alemanha o de longe o seu maior beneficiário e que isso daria à Alemanha responsabilidades especiais em momentos de crise, para a sobrevivência da União Europeia. Tenho sempre a impressão que a maior parte dos políticos europeus da época não eram suficiente qualificados, porque não faziam nem ideia do que estavam a falar. Opunham se a um sistema e transferências automáticas, mas elas vieram a ser criadas pelo Senhor Draghi. Que salvou a UE e o euro. Mais uma vez a maioria dos polícias europeus, que criticaram as medidas, não faziam a mais pálida ideia do que estavam a falar quando criticaram as ditas. É confrangedor ouvir os Dirigentes da UE não saberem
Um exemplo disso é não terem a mais pequena ideia do que taxas de inflação diferentes entre os Estados da UE, teriam como consequências com uma moeda única. Também há que relembrar que os Alemães não queriam o euro, de que vieram a ser os maiores beneficiários. Mais um sinal da ignorância, ou falte de transparência dos políticos. Mas o cumulo são os Franceses, que vieram a ser um dos maiores prejudicados, e que impuseram à Alemanha uma moeda que eles não queriam. Também nunca ninguém explicou aos Europeus, particularmente aos Alemães, que uma Federação ou União, implica necessariamente um sistema de transferências automáticas entre os Estados mais ricos e que fossem beneficiários da moeda única e os Estados mais prejudicados. O Senhor Juncker, então Primeiro Ministro do Luxemburgo, disse numa entrevista uma frase que ficou para a História: “Todos nós sabemos o que tem que ser feito. Nunca ninguém nos explicou é como seriamos outra vez eleitos depois da introdução dessas medidas.
Eu declaro desde já, que em consciência, me encontro inibido de votar no PSD, CDS,estes por serem um atentado à inteligência, PCP e sobretudo Bloco de Esquerda por representarem ideologias comprovadamente falhadas, falsas e caducas. Considero o Bloco de Esquerda a maior ameaça para Portugal, e sou de opinião que se fosse crime os políticos deturparem a realidade e dizerem precisamente o contrário do óbvio, poucas e poucos sobrariam no BE sem serem presos… Portanto vejam o que me sobra… Seguramente não o Partido dos Animais e da Natureza… Vou votar de certeza. E também de certeza que não voto nulo ou em branco…
(OBS) Costa e o PS não mudaram porque descobriram de repente as virtudes do controlo da despesa pública. Mudaram porque os portugueses os forçaram a mudar e perceberam-no quando perderam as eleições de 2015
Como mostra o início da campanha eleitoral, agora todos os partidos políticos são anti-despesistas. Até Catarina Martins, no debate com António Costa, quis sossegar os portugueses, dizendo que o Bloco é a favor das contas públicas equilibradas. Longe vão os tempos em que o Bloco fazia campanha contra as regras fiscais da zona Euro, ou quando os dirigentes do PS, como Pedro Nuno Santos, procuravam assustar os alemães com a ameaça da recusa do pagamento da dívida. Aliás, a famosa restruturação da dívida ainda nem entrou na campanha, nem entrará a sério.
Na relação dos partidos portugueses com o défice a dívida há o pré-Passos Coelho e há o pós-Passos Coelho. Antes de Passos Coelho, como se viu com os governos de Guterres e sobretudo com os de Sócrates, para o PS a despesa pública não era um factor central das suas políticas económicas. Como resultado, veio o desastre de 2011 e a intervenção da troika. Mas nem assim, os socialistas aprenderam, e atacaram o governo de Passos e Portas pelas políticas de consolidação orçamental, o que chamavam de “austeridade”. Mas Passos Coelho insistiu e explicou aos portugueses que deveria haver limites para as despesas. Caso contrário, a economia nunca recuperaria e o país continuaria nas mãos dos seus credores.
O resultado das eleições de 2015 obrigou o PS e António Costa a mudarem. A vitória eleitoral de Passos e Portas, apesar dos anos difíceis entre 2011 e 2015, forçou Costa a reconhecer que os portugueses ainda não confiavam no PS. Por isso, Costa fez tudo para se distanciar do despesismo de Sócrates e percebeu que Mário Centeno seria o ministro mais importante do seu governo. No essencial, em matérias orçamentais, Centeno pensa como Vitor Gaspar: ambos olham para o Euro como o elemento indispensável para disciplinar as contas públicas, e ambos se identificam com a ortodoxia do FMI (onde Gaspar trabalha numa posição de grande destaque e para onde Centeno não se importaria de emigrar).
Costa impediu Passos Coelho de se tornar PM, mas aceitou as suas políticas fiscais. O derrotado, Costa, aprendeu com o vitorioso, Passos, que para ganhar no futuro teria que adoptar as suas receitas orçamentais. Costa e o PS não mudaram porque descobriram de repente as virtudes do controlo da despesa pública. Mudaram porque os portugueses os forçaram a mudar, e perceberam isso quando perderam as eleições de 2015.
A ‘Europa’ também explica a mudança das esquerdas em matérias fiscais. Há uma relação ambígua entre o Portugal socialista e a União Europeia: as regras do Euro ajudam a disciplinar os socialistas portugueses mas, ao mesmo tempo, os dinheiros de Bruxelas são indispensáveis para manter o Estado e as suas clientelas partidárias a funcionar. Se o Euro estabelece as regras, a ‘Europa’ é o ‘petróleo’ do regime socialista, que dá o dinheiro para distribuir.
A mudança de paradigma introduzida por Passos Coelho e pelo seu governo tem um triplo significado. Em primeiro lugar, a recusa do despesismo impede outras políticas que os comunistas, os bloquistas e muitos socialistas gostariam de implementar, como nacionalizações e a introdução de obstáculos ao investimento externo.
Em segundo lugar, quando a direita regressar ao governo (daqui a alguns anos e seguramente no pós-Rio), as esquerdas terão uma enorme dificuldade para contestar as políticas orçamentais mais ortodoxas dos governos de direita. Quando o PCP e o Bloco forem para as ruas contestarem as políticas económicas, bastará mostrar-lhes os orçamentos que aprovaram entre 2015 e 2019. Eles continuarão nas ruas e a fazer barulho, mas a maioria dos portugueses não os levará a sério.
Por fim, Passos Coelho preserva capital político para um dia regressar. Muitos políticos podem chegar a PM, mas são poucos os que provocam uma revolução no discurso e nos consensos políticos de um país.
Há cinco anos poucos acreditavam que era possível criar um novo jornal de qualidade em Portugal, ainda por cima só online. Foi possível. Agora chegou a vez da rádio, de novo construída em moldes que rompem com as rotinas e os hábitos estabelecidos.
Unfortunately all these MPs including Mr John Bercow, the Speaker of the House of Commons, of which i have the worst of all personal opinions, have no idea at all of the Theory of the Games. The are simply not qualified enough. A couple of centuries ago Mr John Bercow would have been tried as a traitor to Queen and Country and would have hanged by the neck. Of course i am not in favour of anything like that . But it certainly is very unfortunate for the UK to have Mr John Bercow as the Speaker of the House of Commons. Which in effect has a considerable power. Well informed people argue that Mr Bercow is personally responsible for Mrs May Government failure. People also say that Mr Bercow has effectively sabotaged Mr May’s Goverment, by allowing Parliament to take control of the Government.
Francisco (Abouaf) de Curiel Marques Pereira
(BBC) It doesn’t take long to find outrage around here – genuine or confected.
That’s been the case for as long as the arguments about Brexit have been raging, longer than many of us might care to remember.
But, as one senior minister suggested tonight, for the rebels ranged against Boris Johnson next week, being angry about the time they have at hand isn’t going to achieve their goals. “The thing for them is not to be outraged, it’s to change the law.”
Within days we will know if the MPs who are implacably opposed to leaving the EU without a deal can really do that.
With lots of former ministers on the backbenches, the group which is openly fighting against the possibility of leaving the EU without a deal has a different complexion.
And the opposition parties, including the Labour leadership, now appear fully engaged in next week’s plan.
This is a big, powerful and diverse group, rather than a handful of experienced backbenchers doing their best to get huge numbers of MPs on side.
The strange political rainbow that is the loose rebel alliance now ranges from Conservatives like Philip Hammond at one end, all the way through to Jeremy Corbyn on the other – from dark blue to dark red, taking in yellow, green and all sorts of other shades in the middle.
Brexit continues to do weird things to the shape of our politics.
They are united in a determination to make it impossible for the prime minister ever to take us out of the EU if he hasn’t been able to agree a new deal with the EU, or get one that’s approved by Parliament.
It’s a broadly held fear that leaving without formal arrangements in place could cause havoc – politically, and for the economy.
But given Boris Johnson’s main reason for success in the Tory leadership election was to leave the EU whatever it takes at the end of October, it is a pretty major goal for a group of backbenchers and opposition politicians.
It’s not just a demand to tweak a policy here or there, but to put a block on a vital part of the new PM’s plan.
To do it, they are essentially trying to pull off the same trick as before, when, breaking convention, Yvette Cooper – along with other former ministers like Nick Boles and Oliver Letwin – led an unprecedented charge.
Using emergency procedures, MPs took control of what gets voted on and discussed in the Commons, and passed – by only one vote – a measure to force Theresa May to delay Brexit, rather than leave with no deal.
In truth Mrs May was, by then, extremely unlikely to leave without a deal, so it was dramatic and important, but much less politically charged than what we’ll see next week.
Because the prime minister this time is openly committed to taking us out, whatever happens, in two months’ time.
Talking to MPs involved this time, the plan is “well evolved”, but there are still live discussions about the exact wording this time round.
I’m told the length of any extension and the kind of deadline they might seek to apply are still under consideration, the dates are very fluid and very sensitive.
One of those involved, Chris Leslie, told us today the vote might just in fact be to force Mr Johnson to give Parliament a vote on authorising a no-deal departure so it was not a decision he could make on his own.
He said: “By the time we get to Tuesday there will be, I believe, a proposal to put in protections against crashing out with no deal.
“That could mean we simply ensure that the House of Commons has to authorise whatever happens after 31 October. It may well be that there is a requirement on the prime minister to extend beyond.”
Mr Leslie is confident that the group will have enough support. But others are not so sure.
Former Justice Secretary David Gauke – whose name has given the new Tory rebels the nickname of the ‘Gaukeward squad’ (don’t blame me, it wasn’t my gag to start with) – is one of those.
Clearly there are plenty of newly emboldened Conservatives, freed from the constraints of government, who are ready and willing to vote against their leader next week.
But remember, it’s not just about them, but the opposition parties too.
Although the Labour leadership seems nailed on to back the effort, they can’t be sure all of their MPs will follow that line.
As ever, there are nerves among MPs about going against their constituents. There are some Labour MPs who hate the idea of leaving the EU, and no deal, but do not want to be seen to be part of stopping it happening, or creating yet another delay.
With numbers pretty tight, their decisions next week will be vital. One of the MPs who has been galvanizing the effort told me “the most important determinant is whether Labour MPs with constituencies that voted Leave can be persuaded.”
That MP guessed that if more than 20 Labour MPs vote against or abstain when it comes to the votes, then the attempt overall will fail.
Relishing the fight
There is also the simple question of whether there is enough time on the clock to get it done, including whizzing through the House of Lords.
The sleeping bags are on standby for the possibility of all-night sittings.
Some MPs may try to insist they hold votes and debates all through the weekend to get it done.
There is a sense in some parts of government that Number 10 might actually relish this fight.
It’s a chance for Mr Johnson’s backers to make the already familiar case that he’s on the side of people who just want what they voted for, and who don’t want to be messed around any more by pesky Parliamentarians.
But ministers will fight hard to win next week for if they lose, it’s a big rock in the prime minister’s road to getting Brexit done. Whether Number 10 would ultimately pay any attention is a different question for another day.
Stand by, though, for the first huge showdown between the new prime minister and Parliament.
The Commons officially opens again for business next Tuesday at 14:30 BST. A key figure involved told me to get this going, “I’ll be there at 2.31pm”.
The strange political family fighting Mr Johnson doesn’t have much time to lose, and a huge argument to try to win.
M.P.O. China has lost forever Hong Kong as we know it. It will have the land, but not it’s skills or money. The capital flght from HK is already huge. It will become out of control any time. China’s reputation will be harmed for a long time for not respecting the 50 years agreed of maintaining the HK rights and style of living. Efectively the US has won the first match against China. Hong Kong as we know it will be no more. Only a foul would stay after this.
The 23-year-old first rose to prominence as the poster boy of a protest movement that swept Hong Kong in 2014.
Andy Chan, founder of the Hong Kong National Party which campaigns for the territory’s independence, also said he was detained on Thursday night while trying to board a flight from Hong Kong airport.
Amnesty International called the arrests “an outrageous assault” on free expression and EU foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini labelled the latest developments “extremely worrying”.
“We expect the authorities in Hong Kong to respect the freedom of assembly, expression and association as well as the right of people to demonstrate peacefully,” she said.
Three pro-democracy lawmakers, Cheng Chung-tai, Au Nok-hin and Jeremy Tam Man-ho, were also arrested for offences relating to past protests.
About 900 people have been arrested since the demonstrations began in June.
In almost three months of increasingly violent clashes, hundreds have already been detained, but the latest, high-profile arrests are being seen as much more political in nature.
At a press conference, the police insisted they were following the law, with commander Kwok Pak Chung making it clear there might be further arrests.
With unconfirmed reports that Beijing has turned down a request by Hong Kong’s chief executive to formally scrap the controversial extradition bill that first sparked the protests, the authorities are toughening their message.
That may dissuade some protesters, but past experience suggests others are likely to be enraged even further.
What about Saturday’s march?
The Civil Human Rights Front, a group behind other record-breaking gatherings, cancelled an anti-extradition law march scheduled for Saturday after failing to overturn a police ban against it.
Organiser Jimmy Sham apologised to the public, but said their priority was to hold protests that were both legally and physically safe.
Another organiser, Bonnie Leung, told the BBC she believed that people would “be clever” and find “legal and safe ways” to protest in spite of the cancellation.
“I don’t think the movement will end at all,” she said. “If the government is trying everything to threaten people away, or it’s trying to wait for the movement to die down, it’s not going to achieve that.”
Hong Kong police on Friday appealed to members of the public to cut ties with “violent protesters” and warned people not to take part in the now-cancelled march.
The recent protests have been characterised as leaderless and activist Nathan Law, who co-founded Demosisto, said nobody was inciting protesters.
“There is no leader or platform in this movement,” he said. “If someone is inciting citizens to go to the streets, it must be the harsh political violence of [Hong Kong’s leader] Carrie Lam.
“Demosisto has never been ‘leaders’ of the movement. Every Hong Kong citizen who has come out has done so according to his own conscience. No matter how the Chinese Communist Party attempts to smear this, nothing can change that fact.
“We appeal to the public not to be afraid of political violence… and continue to fight for their rights. Hong Kong people, go!”
The protests have frequently escalated into violence between police and activists, with injuries on both sides, and activists are increasingly concerned that China might use military force to intervene.
On Thursday, Beijing moved a new batch of troops into Hong Kong. Chinese state media described it as a routine annual rotation.
But an editorial in the China Daily newspaper emphasised the presence of Chinese troops was not symbolic, and they would have “no reason to sit on their hands” if the situation deteriorated.
As far as I can see, and knowing just a tiny little bit of the Parliament procedures, I am of the opinion that the Tory rebels and Mr. Corbyn don’t stand a chance of winning. And also because a sword is hanging over the Tory rebels heads. With Parliament elections coming soon, and with the high popularity of Mr. Johnson among Tory Party Members, they might be deselected to run for MPs in their constituences. And not beeing MPs would render them unimportant. And that’s the worst for a politician. It’s actually the end of their political careers. Full stop.
Francisco (Abouaf) de Curiel Marques Pereira
(GUA) David Gauke says there is no time to wait and Labour says it will fight ‘smash-and-grab raid’
A growing number of senior Tory rebels have signalled they are now prepared to back urgent legislation to thwart a no-deal Brexit after Boris Johnson’s decision to suspend parliament.
In an escalation of the civil war in the Tory party, David Gauke, the former justice secretary, became the latest senior Conservative to urge his colleagues to act immediately rather than wait to see if Johnson could deliver an alternative to the backstop in the 30-day period proffered by the German chancellor, Angela Merkel.
The Labour leader, Jeremy Corbyn, said parliament would “legislate rapidly” on Tuesday next week to try to stop a no-deal Brexit and pledged to also launch an attempt to stop prorogation.
A significant number of Conservative MPs said on Thursday they were now prepared to back legislation in the Commons next week, which they may otherwise have viewed as premature.
Echoing earlier comments by the former chancellor Philip Hammond, Gauke said he believed Tory MPs could not afford to wait.
“It does look like next week is essentially the only opportunity parliament will have to maintain some control over this process and ensure that it has a say before we leave without a deal,” he said. “I don’t think one can rule out the possibility of parliament being able to find a way through this.”
Margot James, the former digital minister, said she had previously been minded to give Johnson time to negotiate. “I had wanted to give the PM until the third week of September – the 30 days he agreed with Merkel – to surprise us all with an alternative to the backstop that would be negotiable with the EU,” she said.
“Also, I was hoping we would find a way of sitting through at least part of the conference recess. However, that option has been fatally undermined by the decision to prorogue parliament for far longer than normal. I will therefore support any legislative action that is possible next week as it is quite likely that it could be parliament’s only chance to impact on how we leave the EU.”
James, who resigned shortly before the summer recess, said the prorogation, coupled with the resignation of George Young, a government whip in the Lords, had been a tipping point for her. Lord Young resigned earlier on Thursday, saying he was “very unhappy at the timing and length of the prorogation and its motivation”.
James said: “For him to have no place in the government demonstrates with deeply depressing clarity just what a minority government this has become, its only mandate a vote from around 90,000 members of the Conservative party, a third of which joined since the referendum, and who are not representative of the country as a whole.”
Richard Harrington, the former business minister who quit in March to support efforts to stop no deal, confirmed he would vote with Tory rebels next week. He announced on Thursday that he would step down as an MP at the next election, saying he was retiring rather than quitting in protest at Brexit. He said he believed he needed to make his intentions clear due to the possibility of a snap election.
Jonathan Djanogly, one of the MPs who had backed Theresa May’s Brexit deal as well as efforts to stop no deal, said he was angered by the lack of opportunity for scrutiny of Johnson’s plans. “Legalities of shutting down parliament apart, no deal has no democratic backing, so stopping debate on the issue is morally wrong in my book,” he said.
“Even if you support a no-deal Brexit, surely you would want government no-deal preparations to be scrutinised. For instance, my own Brexit select committee will not be allowed to sit to question ministers on the adequacy of Project Yellowhammer [the preparations for no deal]. This is a big mistake.”
Guto Bebb, one of the handful of Conservatives who has backed the People’s Vote campaign, said: “As Conservatives we prize loyalty. But it has become increasingly clear that our loyalty must be to our party’s long-term values and not to the man who leads the party at this time.
“I will be using my vote in parliament next week to do that. I know many of my Conservative colleagues, many of whom have never before defied the official whip of the party leadership, will be doing the same.”
Ministers privately admit the battle to block anti-no-deal legislation in the Commons next week appears all but lost, but efforts to frustrate the rebels are focusing on the House of Lords.
Opposition peers expect Tories in the Lords to attempt to filibuster the legislation, which will need to have passed through all its parliamentary stages and received royal assent before parliament is suspended or it will fall.
The Liberal Democrats’ leader in the Lords, Dick Newby, said the government could be defeated. “The government’s tactic to stop the bill in the Lords could be to pack it with hostile amendments and then attempt to filibuster the bill. On our side we can interrupt and put the amendments to a vote and, depending on how many there are, we could even sit all night every day through Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday. We have the troops and we have the camp beds. People will be queuing up to stay.”
Lord Newby added: “We believe that parliament cannot be prorogued as long as the majority in the House of Lords keep the debate going.”
In the Commons, several other no-deal sceptic Tories said they still wanted to give Johnson time to get a deal before they were prepared to vote against him. Victoria Prentis, one of the key backers of Rory Stewart’s leadership campaign, said: “I am still likely to give him [Johnson] the benefit of the doubt next week. He has promised that he will get a deal; I want to give him the time to get a deal.”
Some said they believed they would still have time to act before no deal, even in October. Gillian Keegan said: “I am very much against no deal but I also very much want to vote for a deal. We are in uncharted territory but I do believe we have time, even in the last week of October, to find a way to stop no deal if it really looks like that is where we are headed.”
Others who have said they will continue to back the prime minister include Nicholas Soames, Richard Benyon and Tobias Ellwood, all of whom have spoken out against no deal.
Labour said it intended to play a central role in any legislative fightback. Corbyn told Sky News: “We will be back in parliament on Tuesday to challenge Boris Johnson on what I think is a smash-and-grab raid against our democracy. He’s trying to suspend parliament in order to prevent a serious discussion and a serious debate to prevent a no-deal Brexit.
“What we’re going to do is try to politically stop him on Tuesday with a parliamentary process in order to legislate to prevent a no-deal Brexit and also to try to prevent him shutting down parliament during this utterly crucial period.”
Corbyn said he was confident there was enough time in parliament to introduce legislation. “We believe we can do it, otherwise we wouldn’t be trying to do it,” he said.
Labour later released a joint statement with the SNP, Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru, the Independent Group for Change and the Green party, saying: “It is our view that there is a majority in the House of Commons that does not support this prorogation, and we demand that the prime minister reverses this decision immediately or allows MPs to vote on whether there should be one.”
The Sovereign in agreement with the serving Prime Minister has an absolute power.
P.S.: The only legal question might be that the current serving Prime Minister might not have the support of Parliament, which he is supposed to have… Then we would enter unchartered waters, and would go back to Cromwell days. Even so I am of the opinion that the Tory Rebels and Mr Corbyn don’t stand a chance of winning.
(SUN) JEREMY Corbyn will launch his plan to stop Boris Johnson from shutting down Parliament and pushing through a No Deal Brexit on Tuesday – as leftie protesters announced a day of chaos this weekend.
The Labour boss said he would start an all-out war in the Commons as soon as MPs get back to Westminster.
COUNTDOWN TO BREXIT
Boris Johnson promises we’ll leave the EU in…
He told the media this afternoon on a visit to Scotland: “We’re going to try and politically stop him on Tuesday with a Parliamentary process to legislate to prevent a No Deal Brexit, and prevent him from shutting down Parliament during this critical period.
“We believe we can do it, otherwise we wouldn’t be trying to do it.”
The Labour boss has since urged MPs to join protests against the suspension of Parliament.
In a letter to Labour MPs, he wrote: “No-one voted for Boris Johnson’s shutdown of democracy.
“That is why public outrage to his actions has been so deafening, and why I am urging MPs to join protests opposing the shutdown and the Prime Ministers threat of a no-deal Brexit”
But the plan to try and force Mr Johnson out with a vote of no confidence is still in long grass, and the leftie boss is only expected to do so after trying other options over fears the coup will flop.
Backers of Corbyn’s grassroots army Momentum urged to “occupy bridges and blockade roads” to protest Boris’ plan to shut down Parliament.
And they called for “Stop The Coup” protests in major cities across Britain for Saturday – followed by a mass demonstration on Tuesday in London to coincide with the return of MPs to Westminster.
Momentum national coordinator Laura Parker, who said she would occupy Parliament if she had to, stormed: “Real power doesn’t sit with the Queen or in Parliament. It’s with us the people – and that’s why we need to take action.
“Our message to Johnson is this: if you steal our democracy, we’ll shut down the streets.
As MPs geared up for a huge Brexit battle next week:
Labour confirmed plans to seize control of Parliament with an emergency debate next week – to try and force Boris to seek another Brexit extension
Campaigners and MPs sought to try and block the move to shut down Parliament in the courts
But this morning Lord Young of Cookham quit the Government over Boris’ bold plans.
He was a minister under every Tory PM going back to Margaret Thatcher, but said today he was “very unhappy with the timing and length of the prorogation, and its motivation”.
John McDonnell labels Boris ‘a dictator’ and compares him to Hitler
JOHN McDonnell today labelled Boris Johnson as a dictator and compared him to Adolf Hitler.
The Shadow Chancellor launched an extraordinary attack on the PM after his plans to suspend Parliament.
After a speech today he said Brits had “stood up to dictators before and they will stand up to this one as well” in a clear hint at the Nazi wartime leader.
Speaking at an event in London today, Mr McDonnell said: “I just give Boris Johnson this warning really.
“Trying to undermine the very institution – and Matthew Hancock [the Health Secretary] summed it up when he was arguing against prorogation – that people have given their lives for, to secure this democracy.
“To try and undermine that flies in the face of a whole history and centuries of democratic advancement in this country.
“I don’t think the British people will tolerate that.
“They have stood up to dictators before and they will stand up to this one as well.”
How will Boris shut down Parliament, and what does it mean?
BORIS Johnson has announced he will prorogue – or suspend – Parliament from the middle of September until just a few weeks before the Brexit deadline of October 31.
Remainers are furious at the PM’s move because it means they have a very short amount of time to mount a credible legal challenge against No Deal.
Proroguing sees the end of a parliamentary session – no matter what is being debated.
If the Commons is dissolved any bill that is currently being discussed or has not been properly answered will not progress.
MPs are currently in recess – meaning Parliament isn’t sitting – which makes it harder for Remainers to push through anti-Brexit legislation or use obscure Parliamentary tricks to block our divorce from Brussels.
This means Boris could send MPs away and stop them holding up Brexit.
The PM has also announced that a Queen’s Speech – which marks the opening of a session of Parliament – will be held on October 14.
The speech is a list of laws the government plans to get approved over the year – for Boris this could include a number of policy changes he hopes will win him voters in the case of an election.
BREXTENSION PLOT AHEAD
With No10 determined to stop Remainer rebels from wrecking their hand, they are set to try all sorts of tactics to make sure they can’t succeed.
This could include getting friendly Lords to filibusterer it out of time, or scheduling other debates to shut down their time-frame.
But today it also emerged that rebels are looking to see if they can work through weekends too to try and stop Boris in his tracks.
Backbenchers are looking at ways they can keep the Commons open for extra days to have time to pass a bill.
Gina Miller, who was successful in forcing Theresa May to offer MPs a vote triggering against the Government, is now trying to take them to court yet again, too.
She’s trying to launch a judicial review today of the advice Boris Johnson has given to the Queen, arguing that it’s illegal.
She said the PM was “hijacking the Queen’s prerogative power”.
Meanwhile a separate challenge is being pursued in Scotland against him shutting down Parliament.
The case was heard today and a judge will make a decision tomorrow.
Ex-PM Sir John Major is also considering legal action.
How MPs could fight to stop a No Deal Brexit
NOW Boris has announced his plans to stop MPs sitting in Parliament for up to five weeks, it limits Remainers’ options to stop a No Deal. What will they try and do next?
No confidence vote next week:The move will put pressure on Jeremy Corbyn to launch a vote of confidence next week when MPs come back to Westminster on Tuesday.
That plan was put on the back burner yesterday because MPs refused to back Mr Corbyn’s plan to become a caretaker PM and storm into No10.
If MPs waited until October to force a vote of no confidence, they may not have time to do so, or it could see Brexit happen during the 14-day period after the Government lose a vote of confidence.
This wouldn’t, then, stop a No Deal Brexit from happening.
A confidence vote next week may now have a better chance of success if MPs think this is their last chance.
But Government sources said if they lost such a vote they would stay in power until after Brexit day anyway.
Try and force through new law in just days: MPs will have a few days when Parliament gets back next week, and a few the week after too.
That could be enough time to push through a law using an emergency debate.
Last time rebel MPs forced a new law through in just a few days – giving them hope they can do it.
Take the battle to the courts: A court challenge to shutting down Parliament is due to be heard in Scotland on September 6.
MPs could try and focus their efforts into getting a court to deem the move unlawful, though this is unlikely to succeed.
Dominic Grieve said that he would look into efforts to stop shutting down Parliament after today’s news.
SNP politicians and others are looking at trying to get a court ruling in the Court of Session to block prorogation too.
P.O. Is this the beggining of the end for Boeing as a manufacturer of civilian airplanes? I believe it is. I doubt that the Boeing 737 MAX will ever fly again. If Boeing is found guyity thousands of them will follow siut. And can’t see how it can be justifyed to put modern fuel efficient engines in an old fashioned and antiquated airframe. If Boeing is found guilty the criminal law suits will certainly follow. As i wrote in previous Personal Opinions (here and here) if Boeing was not a manufacturer of military aircraft it would be belly up in all probability.
Francisco ( Abouaf) de Curiel Marques Pereira
— (CBS) A Russian aircraft leasing company confirmed Tuesday that it has filed the first U.S. lawsuit to cancel an order for 35 Boeing 737 MAX jets. Avia Capital Services (ACS), a subsidiary of state-owned Russian conglomerate Rostec, confirmed to AFP a report of the lawsuit in the Financial Times, which said it was the first civil action brought by a customer against the U.S. aerospace giant over the 737 Max.
The FT reported that ACS had filed the suit in Chicago claiming that Boeing had “intentionally” failed to disclose information about the airworthiness of the jet to its customers.
It accuses Boeing of negligence in selling the “defective” aircraft. ACS is seeking $115 million in compensatory damages, and several times that amount in punitive damages, the FT reported.
That was in large part a result of a $4.9 billion charge taken by the company as it negotiates compensation deals with customers.
As CBS News correspondent Kris Van Cleave reported last month, if the 737 Max doesn’t take back to the skies by the end of the year, the continued grounding could force Boeing to further slow, or even halt production. Such a move by the nation’s largest exporter could send a ripple through the U.S. economy.
But CEO Dennis Muilenburg has raised the possibility the Max could be re-approved for passenger service by October. “It’s our job to make sure that they’re safe and we’ve learned from these two accidents,” he said.
In May, Muilenburg spoke to “CBS Evening News” anchor Norah O’Donnell. “We know it will take some time to earn and re-earn that public confidence, and the first step will be to get the Max up and flying safely,” he said.
Boeing is facing a growing list of lawsuits in the U.S., the latest filed July by the family of Army Captain Antoine Lewis, killed in the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 crash. They called on American, Southwest and United Airlines to drop the 737 Max from their fleets.
And Brazil fears rightly so. I personally will not buy one single Brazilian product until this problem is solved. And i appeal to you my Friends to do the same thing. I wrote years ago that the Amazon forest should not be controled by Brazil alone. A country so corrupt as Brazil is can not continue to control alone the Amazon forest which is vital for the World. This is obvious in my opinion. One example: Former President Temer reached a deal with the lobby that is destroing the Amazon forest ( farmers) to prevent being impeached. This is public information.
Francisco (Abouaf) de Curiel Marques Pereira
(Independent) European leaders on Friday threatened to tear up a trade deal with South America, reflecting growing international anger at Brazil as a record number of fires in the Amazon rainforest intensified an unfolding environmental crisis.
Amid a global chorus of concern and condemnation, Brazil’s right-wing President Jair Bolsonaro pledged in an address to the nation to mobilize the army to help combat the blazes, while his administration launched a diplomatic charm offensive to try to mend bridges overseas.
Forest fires in the Brazilian Amazon, which accounts for more than half of the world’s largest rainforest, have surged in number by 83% this year, according to government data, destroying vast swathes of a vital bulwark against global climate change.
French President Emmanuel Macron called for G7 leaders to discuss the environmental crisis in Brazil at a summit this weekend in the French coastal resort of Biarritz. Both France and Ireland threatened to oppose an EU trade deal struck in June with a regional South American bloc following Brazil’s response.
Images of fires raging in the Amazon broadcast around the globe sparked protests outside Brazilian embassies from Mexico City and Lima to London and Paris.
In the Cypriot capital Nicosia, a sign tied to the railings of Brazil’s diplomatic mission read: “The Amazon belongs to Earth not to the Brazilian president.”
Bolsonaro, who initially accused non-governmental organizations of setting the forest on fire without providing any evidence, said in a televised address he had authorized the use of troops to fight the fires and stop illegal deforestation in the Amazon.
But the former military officer attributed the scale of the fires to dryer-than-average weather and insisted on the need for economic development of the Amazon to improve the lives of its 20 million inhabitants.
Environmentalists have warned that his controversial plans for more agriculture and mining in the region will speed up deforestation.
“We have to give the population the opportunity to develop and my government is working for that, with zero tolerance for crime – and that is no different for the environment,” Bolsonaro said in his televised speech.
Polls show Brazilians overwhelmingly oppose his policy on the environment and as he spoke to the nation, residents in large cities across Brazil banged on pots and pans in a traditional Latin American form of protest.
U.S. President Donald Trump – whose skeptical views on climate change Bolsonaro shares – called the Brazilian president to offer help, if needed, in dealing with the wildfires.
“I told him if the United States can help with the Amazon rainforest fires, we stand ready to assist!” Trump said in a post on Twitter.
The wildfires now look set to be discussed at the summit of G7 leaders in France this weekend, where Macron has called for leaders to sign a charter to protect biodiversity. The French leader said an “ecocide” was taking place in the Amazon that required an international response.
VIDEO: Bolsonaro defiant as global fears escalate over Amazon wildfiresVideo by: Georgina Grouse00:0001:06480p720p480p360p high360p lowShare this video
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson tweeted that the fires were “not only heartbreaking, they are an international crisis,” while a spokeswoman said Johnson would use the summit to call for a renewed focus on protecting nature.
France and Ireland said on Friday they would now oppose the E.U.-Mercosur farming deal struck in June between the European Union and the Mercosur countries of Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay.
The French president’s office accused Bolsonaro of lying when he downplayed concerns over climate change at the G20 summit in June.
“There is no way that Ireland will vote for the EU-Mercosur Free Trade Agreement if Brazil does not honor its environmental commitments,” Ireland’s Prime Minister Leo Varadkar said in a statement.
The EU-Mercosur deal took 20 years to negotiate, but will not be officially ratified for at least another two years.
Brazilian business leaders also warned the backlash over Brazil’s environmental record could sink its efforts to join the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), a Paris-based club of 37 developed nations whose imprimatur is required by many institutional investors.
Stung by the international outcry, Brazil distributed a 12-page circular, exclusively seen by Reuters, to foreign embassies, outlining data and statistics defending the government’s reputation on the environment.
Having first dismissed the fires as natural, then blaming non-governmental organizations without evidence for lighting them, Bolsonaro appeared to adopt a more serious approach on Friday following the international outcry, summoning top cabinet members for an afternoon meeting to tailor a response.
Agriculture Minister Tereza Cristina Dias insisted that Brazil was “taking care” of the Amazon, and that international concerns over the fires needed to cool down.
“The news is worrying, but I think we have to lower the temperature. The Amazon is important, Brazil knows that, and Brazil is taking care of the Amazon,” she told reporters.
The Brazilian space agency INPE has registered 72,843 fires this year, the highest number since records began in 2013. More than 9,500 have been spotted by satellites over the past week.
Although fires are a regular and natural occurrence during the dry season at this time of year, environmentalists blamed the jump on farmers clearing land for pasture.
Farmers may have had at least tacit encouragement from the firebrand right-wing president, who took power in January.
Bolsonaro has repeatedly said he believes Brazil should open up the Amazon to business interests, allowing mining, agricultural and logging companies to exploit its natural resources.
On Thursday, Bolsonaro admitted for the first time that farmers may be behind some of the fires but he responded angrily to what he saw as foreign interference.
Some foreign donors – including the biggest, Norway – have slashed their funding to an Amazon Fund designed to curb deforestation in the region in protest at changes introduced by Brazil that blocked its operations.
“These countries that send money here, they don’t send it out of charity … They send it with the aim of interfering with our sovereignty,” Bolsonaro said.
Alexandre Antonelli, director of science at Britain’s Kew Royal Botanic Gardens, urged that import sanctions be imposed on Brazil because of the fires.
“Immediate action is necessary to extinguish the current fires and prevent future ones,” the Brazilian scientist said.
P.O. We don’t know if this is an intentional devaluation or if it is the result of market forces. China has currently huge problems. Please make some time and revisit my Personal Opinions on China. One thing i know, which President Xi seems to have forgoten. And that every Western politician knows… It is never a good idea to mess up with the United States of America. And China, under President Xi, has challenged the US in just about everything there was to challenge. If one messes up with the US the consequences will always arrive, sooner or later. And they will be always huge , vide gigantic. The US has such an influence in just about every international organization, that the defiant country will be hit from everywhere at the same time Not a good idea… Obvious my dear Watson, quoting Sherlock Holmes.
Francisco (Abouaf) de Curiel Marques Pereira
(SCMP) China appears to be preparing to offset the impact of Donald Trump’s new US trade war tariffs, increasing fears of regional currency declines and further equity exodus
On September 1, the US is set to implement the first phase of a 10 per cent tariff on a wide range of Chinese manufactured consumer goods worth around US$130 billion
Chinese authorities let the yuan drop to its weakest level since March 2018, the seventh straight daily decline, on Friday. Photo: AFP
The value of the Chinese yuan fell to a fresh 11-year low against the US dollar on Friday, fuelling worries that China has given up on achieving any progress to end the trade war with the United States in the near term and so is moving to offset the effect of new tariffs with a weaker exchange rate.
The weaker yuan, in turn, dragged down regional currencies, aided by central bank interest rate cuts, that would lead to an acceleration of capital outflows from Asia this year.
Recent signs appear to indicate that China was preparing its economy for a scenario in which no progress is made at the face-to-face trade negotiations between US and Chinese officials expected to take place in Washington next month, analysts said.And despite the US labelling China a currency manipulatorearly this month to address what it sees as the unfair trade advantage resulting from a cheaper yuan, Chinese authorities let the yuan drop to its weakest level since March 2018, the seventh straight daily decline.
The drop in the yuan followed a reduction in interest rates by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) this week. The central bank set its new one-year lending prime rate at 4.25 per cent, down from the old lending benchmark rate of 4.35 per cent, which analysts believe is the start of an easing cycle to prop up economic growth.
“Perhaps the PBOC is sending a message to the US trade hawks that it will let the yuan gradually weaken as a policy weapon to neutralise the effect of increased tariffs,” said Stephen Innes, co-founder of Valour Markets.On September 1, the US is poised to implement the first phase of a new 10 per cent tariff on a wide range of Chinese manufactured consumer goods worth around US$130 billion, bringing US-China bilateral relations to a new low, the Economist Intelligence Unit warned, so businesses should prepare for a prolonged conflict and be aware that the trade war could escalate in other ways.
The weaker yuan and prospects that other Asian currencies would follow, could exacerbate the sharp increase in capital outflows from Asia already underway, analysts warned.
Perhaps the PBOC is sending a message to the US trade hawks that it will let the yuan gradually weaken as a policy weapon to neutralise the effect of increased tariffsStephen Innes
Money has been fleeing stock markets almost across the entire Asian region this month, a trend that could worsen during the rest of the year, said Irene Cheung, ANZ Bank’s senior Asia strategist. Taiwan has seen equity outflows of US$2.4 billion so far this month, South Korea US$1.9 billion and Thailand US$1.6 billion, Cheung said.
While some Asian bond markets were attracting inflows because Asian issues still provide positive investment returns compared to the negative yields offered in Europe and Japan, the inflows were not big enough to completely outweigh equity outflows from the region, Cheung said,
“Investors are avoiding equities because of risk aversion. But we do see some bond inflows because the fixed income market is a place to go to when the economic outlook is negative,” Cheung said.
Given the worsening outlook for global growth and the escalating trade war between China and the US, a wave of rate cuts in a number of countries across the world have been exerting downward pressure on their currencies.
The US Federal Reserve, as well as the central banks from Australia, New Zealand, Thailand and the Philippines, have all cut rates in the last month. On Thursday, the central bank of Indonesia cut its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive month despite the recent weakness of the rupiah exchange rate.
In Hong Kong, the foreign exchange market has been showing mounting fears of massive capital flight from the city in the future. Forward contracts, which bet on a currency’s value at particular point in the future, rose to their highest level since 2016, reflecting belief that the Hong Kong dollar would weaken below the key level of 7.85 per US dollar in a year’s time.The Hong Kong dollar was pegged at 7.80 to the US dollar in 1983, with a trading band of 7.75 and 7.85 introduced in 2005. On Friday, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority said that even though Hong Kong dollar forwards had fallen below the 7.85 level, that would not diminish the effectiveness of the city’s linked exchange rate regime.
“There seems to be a new wave of depreciation pressure in the region given that the leading currency [,the yuan,] is falling,” said Ken Cheung Kin-tai, chief Asian currency strategist. “Expectations that central banks would keep cutting rates are also keeping the currencies weak.”
Jason Lui, head of equity and derivative strategy at the Hong Kong branch of BNP Paribas, said southbound inflow had been picking up since March, with an apparent acceleration in August as mainland Chinese investors net purchased more than US$3 billion worth of HK-listed shares during the first two weeks of August, on track for the fifth highest monthly inflow since the Stock Connect scheme was introduced.
There seems to be a new wave of depreciation pressure in the region given that the leading currency [,the yuan,] is fallingKen Cheung Kin-tai
So far China’s investors have been piling into Hong Kong shares via the Stock Connect channel in the longest shopping spree in 18 months.
Funds from mainland China helped Hong Kong’s capital market weather the turmoil in the global financial markets during the yuan devaluation in 2015 and amid heavy international betting on yuan depreciation in 1998, when the city faced down hedge fund tycoon George Soros with an unprecedented HK$118 billion (US$15 billion) stock-buying spree to prop up equity prices and defend the currency peg.
Gene Ma, head of China Research at Institute of International Finance, forecast capital outflows of US$150 billion from China this year, up from US$30 billion in 2018, but much smaller than the US$647 billion in 2015.
Outflow pressure from Chinese residents has been persistent, as US tariffs have encouraged both Chinese and foreign manufacturers to relocate their factories outside of Chinese, damping foreign direct investment into the country, Ma said.
Foi salva pela porteira do prédio onde vivia na Republica de Vichy porque os pais foram enviados para os campos de concentração.
A minha Avó Elfride, Mãe do meu Pai, que também era Judia, mas agnóstica, e era Prima direita dela, foi buscá la à Republica de Vichy (que coragen e noção do que tinha que ser feito) e educou a como se irmã do meu Pai fosse.
Pressenti a morte dela ontem.
Era uma Grande Senhora e de uma doçura como eu nunca vi.
Vai me fazer muita falta.
Tinha perto de noventa anos.
Sobrevive lhe o Marido Marcel de Botton, três filhos a Isabel , o Filipe e a Cristina e um sem número de netos e bisnetos
O.P. Sem ver nenhum estudo de opinião,e antes que apareçam, e a menos que apareça algum grande escândalo envolvendo o PS, sou de opinião, puramente intuitiva,que o PS ganha as próximas eleições legislativas com maioria absoluta. FCMP
(Reuters) Portugal’s fuel-tanker drivers voted on Sunday to call off an indefinite strike, with their union agreeing to negotiate with employers in government-brokered talks set to take place this week.
“Given that all conditions are in place to negotiate with ANTRAM (employers’ association) and the government, it was decided that the strike would be called off,” said Pedro Pardal Henriques, vice president of the National Hazardous Goods Drivers’ Union (SNMMP).
By ruling independently from the UK, Gibraltar proved behond any doubt that they are independent in a high profile case , like this one, and they gained the support of all the Iran aligned Countries.
Regardless of the merits, or not, of the case , Gibraltar scored big, and will earn many dividents from this decision in the future.
Please bear in mind that i detest the Iranian regime, which i think is a religious and imperialist dictatorship run by fundamentalists that are, in my opinion, politically mentally retarded muslims.
But my opinion does not affect my strategic reasoning in the Gibraltar case.
Francisco (Abouaf) de Curiel Marques Pereira
(AJ) Ruling to release vessel that was commandeered by UK came despite last-minute US attempt to detain it.14 hours ago
Gibraltar’s Supreme Court has ruled that a seized Iranian oil tanker is free to sail, just hours after the United States made a last-minute attempt to keep the vessel under detention, authorities said.
Grace 1 had been commandeered by the British Royal Marines off the coast of Gibraltar on July 4 on suspicion it was carrying Iranian crude oil to Syria in breach of European Union sanctions against the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
Iran had denied the accusation and called the seizure “an act of piracy” committed at the behest of the US.
The tanker, which remained docked off the coast of the British territory off Spain’s southern coast into Thursday evening, has since become a pawn in the escalating tensions between Iran and the US.
The Gibraltar government on Thursday reiterated its conviction that the ship had been bound for Syria with $140m worth of light crude oil on board, in violation of separate EU and US sanctions. The boat’s navigation plan “showed a fully marked-out route” from the Gulf to the Syrian port of Baniyas, the government said.
Gibraltar Chief Minister Fabian Picardo said he had met Iranian officials on July 19 in London “with a will for a de-escalation with regard to all the various problems arising from the detention of the Grace 1”.
The Supreme Court decision to release the tanker came on Thursday after Iran guaranteed in writing that the Grace 1 would not be heading to countries “subject to European Union sanctions” once it left the port, and therefore the ship was “no longer subject to detention”, Chief Justice Anthony Dudley said.
Later on Thursday, the United Kingdom‘s Foreign Office called on Iran to stand by its pledge that the ship would not sail for Syria.
Gibraltar officials said a last-minute appeal from the US to extend the detention was not considered an official request before the Supreme Court, so they went ahead with the release.
“As far as the judge here is concerned at the Supreme Court, the Grace 1 is free to leave right now,” Al Jazeera’s Andrew Simmons, reporting from Gibraltar, said.
The ruling came after a day of confusion surrounding the tanker, with the government in Gibraltar saying plans to release the vessel had been delayed by the last-minute request from the US Department of Justice to extend its detention.
The US request will be reviewed by the territory’s Independent Mutual Legal Assistance authority, which can decide whether a separate court case can take place, Picardo told reporters. If the review were to happen before Grace 1 left Gibraltar’s waters, the detention could still be extended.
It was not immediately clear if there was a crew willing and able to man the ship, but Iran’s ambassador to Britain, Hamid Baeidinejad, tweeted after the court ruling that the ship would “soon leave Gibraltar”.
The captain of Grace 1 and three officers had been released from detention in preparation for the vessel’s release [Jon Nazca/Reuters]
It also remained unclear if the decision would prompt Iran to release the British-flagged Stena Impero, which the Islamic Republic had seized in the Strait of Hormuz on July 19. At the time, Iran said the vessel had collided with a fishing boat and violated international law, but later Iranian President Hassan Rouhani appeared to suggest that if the UK released Grace 1, then his country would return Stena Impero.
A spokesman for the Stena Impero’s owner said after the ruling that the situation remained unchanged and that the company awaited further developments from the UK and Iran.
“Now this is a way for both sides to defuse the situation and save face,” Al Jazeera’s Assed Baig, reporting from Tehran, said.
In its statement, the UK foreign office denied that there had been any link “between Iran’s unacceptable and illegal seizure of, and attacks on, commercial shipping vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and the enforcement of EU Syria sanctions by the Government of Gibraltar.”
The US and Iran have traded barbs and accusations as tensions have risen over the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway between Oman and Iran through which a fifth of the world’s oil is transported.
Since May, the US has repeatedly accused Iran of sabotaging tankers in the strait, an accusation Iran has denied.
In June, Iran downed a US military surveillance drone in the Gulf with a surface-to-air missile. Tehran said the drone was in its airspace, while Washington said it was in international skies.
The US military has since deployed additional forces, including an aircraft carrier and B-52 bombers, to the Middle East as tensions have mounted. It also began a joint naval mission in the region with the UK, who were prompted to join by the seizure of the Stena Impero.
On Thursday, Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif derided Washington’s last-minute attempt to seize the tanker, accusing the US of trying to “steal our property on the high seas”.
“Having failed to accomplish its objectives through its #EconomicTerrorism – including depriving cancer patients of medicine – the US attempted to abuse the legal system to steal our property on the high seas,” Zarif tweeted on Thursday, referring to US sanctions that Iranian officials say have prevented cancer patients from receiving medicines.
He added: “This piracy attempt is indicative of Trump (administration’s) contempt for the law.”
In preparations for the tanker’s release, the captain of Grace 1, an Indian national, and three officers had been released from detention on Thursday, the Gibraltar government said.
“We the People” – quoting the US Constituition – are still in charge and we do matter.
The situation in Hong Kong is unsustainable and puts in question the one Country two systems principle and the imperialistic ambitions of China.
Hong Kong was returned to China only because the UK had done a mistake in negociating the soveignty of the New Territories for only 99 years.
And since Hong Kong could not survive without the New Territories it’s future was doomed since the begining.
HK is much less important to China today than it was in the past.
It is clear to me that the HK people are never going to accept being run by a dictatorship which is what China is.
And run by Mandarins as they always have been.
Even if sone Madarin families live in the US for decadas now, like the family of Mao Tae Tung.
Having said this I am of the opinion that Taiwan is never going to be run by mainland China.
China is emerging as the number one economic power in the World.
But it has huge adjustments problelms for the next 15 or 20 years as I wrote many times before.
The confrontation with the US on several fronts is only a way to distract the Chinese people from their real problems as I wrote many times before.
No one knows what is going to happen exactly, but the huge capital flight from China is certainly an indication that the current status quo cannot continue.
When and if the very rich Chinese Families decide to part with Beijing the current regime will fall in a bloody and confrontational way.
There will probably be a World War.
Unfortunately I have no better things to tell you.
Francisco (Abouaf) de Curiel Marques Pereira
P.S: The Western World should be wise to scrutiny and limit Chinese imigration, which is in many cases subsidized by Beijing and is nothing more than a Troyan Horse.
Please remember that during WW2 the West was forced to put all Japonese in a sort of concentration camps…
Please remember that the Chinese Culture is a dominant one, and in case of a global confrontation the Chinese, regardless if they have a Western Passport, will be always loyal to Beijing. Like most Japonese were during WW2.
Having lived in the UK for several years, i can easily say that the NHS has been deteriorating in quality for many years now.
I also find it unfair that disabled and elderly persons almost don’t have any special benefits, as opposed to most Countries in Europe, including Portugal.
The British understand this very well and that’s why this announcement by the new Prime Minister Mr Boris Johnson is a major win win situation.
If Mr Johnson secures a stable majority in the House of Commons and with the support of the US, he will have the EU dancing at his tunes.
And it would be only fair, because the EU, which has all the ticks of a dictatorship, has been dealing with the UK in an incredible and totally imperialistic way.
With a stable and solid majority in Parliament, i am of the opinion, according to the Theory of Games, that the EU will blink first.
Particularly because the EU desperatly needs the famous 39 billion pounds of the settlement divorce.
And it is not going to to get one pound out of that lump sum if the divorce is not arranged in an amical way.
This is my opinion come what may.
Not one single pound if it is a hard Brexit.
Sorry Brussels, but with Mr Farage comanding the largest number of British MEP, i Francisco am of the firm opinion, that in the eventual case of a hard Brexit the EU will not get one single pound of that lump sum.
The same way that French boats are never going to continue to have fishing rights in the UK waters after the UK leaves the EU.
What a ridiculous french idea.
Francisco (Abouaf) de Curiel Marques Pereira
Post Scriptum: Elderly people having to sell their homes to pay for health care in their last months of life is an abnoxious and totally unfair idea.
Unfortunately it’s happening.
Shame on the politicians that were not able to pass a law to solve this problem FCMP
U.K. premier to commit hundreds of millions of pounds to NHS
Health package to including cash for artificial intelligence
Boris Johnson plans to spend hundreds of millions of pounds on hospitals and health care technology, as the U.K.’s new prime minister seeks to deliver on his own most contentious political promise.
Back in the 2016 referendum, Johnson’s pro-Brexit campaign emblazoned a slogan on the side of its bus that pledged extra cash for Britain’s state-run National Health Service if the country voted to leave the European Union. It was attacked as misleading at the time and the argument has dogged Johnson ever since.
Now he is prime minister and intends to make good his three year-old words, according to a person familiar with the matter.
The expenditure is set to be announced next week in one of the new administration’s first major non-Brexit policies, said the person, who asked not to be named as the plan is not yet public.
The announcement forms part of a health care spending “blitz” championed by Dominic Cummings, the backroom official who masterminded Johnson’s 2016 Brexit campaign and is now one of the premier’s top aides, the person said.
Johnson’s NHS announcement is likely to be seen as a further signal that he is preparing for a potential election campaign with populist pledges. The opposition Labour Party is traditionally stronger on health care and is trying to paint Johnson as someone who can’t be trusted with the NHS. The extra cash is the latest in a series of high profile spending commitments from Johnson, following pledges to recruit more police officers and to build new rail links.
The NHS spending announcement, provisionally planned for next week, will be three-pronged, according to the person, who declined to be named discussing policy that’s yet to be announced.
In total, the spending is likely to amount to hundreds of millions of pounds of new cash, according to the person. Once the acceleration of delivery on old promises is factored in, the sum of the entire package is likely to be in the billions, they said.
In 2016, Johnson’s pro-Brexit campaign pledged to spend money that would have gone to Brussels on free health care. The slogan on the side of the red bus Johnson used to tour the country declared: “We send the EU 350 million pounds a week. Let’s fund our NHS instead.”
Johnson was criticized during the referendum campaign for the pledge on the side of the bus, which a Parliamentary panel dismissed at the time as “highly misleading.” Nevertheless, Vote Leave stuck to its message, helping secure a 52%-48% victory for the Brexit camp.
P.O. As i forecasted years ago Mr Boris Johnson is now Prime Minister. “And a formidable he will be!” FCMP
(Economist) But the new prime minister faces a struggle to revive the Conservative Party
PEOPLE WHO have worked with Boris Johnson rarely praise him for his efficiency or integrity. His editors during his career as a journalist have variously described him as a “cavorting charlatan” and “epically unreliable”. During the last Conservative leadership contest in 2016 Michael Gove, a fellow Brexiteer, launched his campaign by claiming that Mr Johnson “cannot provide the leadership or build the team for the task ahead”.
Yet on July 24th Boris Johnson will succeed Theresa May as Britain’s prime minister. After a two-month campaign, 66% of Conservative members voted for Mr Johnson to be the party’s leader, rather than Jeremy Hunt. The Tory faithful were undeterred by Mr Johnson’s reputation for chaos and chicanery. According to Ipsos MORI, a pollster, 55% of Conservative supporters think he is a capable leader. Some 36% reckon that he is more honest than most politicians. Those fractions are half as large among non-Conservatives.Get our daily newsletter
Upgrade your inbox and get our Daily Dispatch and Editor’s Picks.
Mr Johnson’s overall approval ratings compare favourably with those of the previous six prime ministers. His honesty score of 25% is nearly twice as high as Gordon Brown’s was in the months before he succeeded Tony Blair. And Mr Johnson’s capability rating of 33% is greater than Margaret Thatcher’s was shortly before her election in 1979.
He differs starkly from his predecessors on two fronts. Thanks to his wit (some say buffoonery), 79% of Britons agree that he has lots of personality, more than double the equivalent figure for Mr Blair before his election. Mr Johnson’s fondness for obscure historical jokes (and his record of offensive comments about non-whites) mean that 62% think he is out of touch. That is nearly three times as high as for Mr Cameron, his confrère from Eton and Oxford.
A prime minister’s initial approval ratings are a poor predictor of his or her future performance. Thatcher’s rose gradually, whereas Mrs May’s spiked and then slumped. The Tory MPs who backed Mr Johnson in the contest have gambled that his eccentric style will win voters round and revive their hopes of re-election. As the Conservatives have grown increasingly fractious over Brexit, support for the party has collapsed, from 39% of voters at the start of the year to barely half that in June. At that point, the polls showed a virtual four-way tie between the Tories, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the newly-formed Brexit Party.
Once it became clear that Mr Johnson would win the leadership race, the Conservatives’ support rebounded, from 20% to 25%, while that for the Brexit Party dipped. Still, nobody really knows how Britain’s first-past-the-post system would divide seats in a contest between four competitive parties. For now, punters on Betfair Exchange, a betting market, have reinstalled the Tories as favourites to win the most seats in the next election (though they give them just a one-in-four chance of winning a majority).